Insight Molecular Diagnostics Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
108.58%
increased by 10.95%
1 Week
107.78%
increased by 10.15%
1 Month
105.85%
increased by 8.22%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2015 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.34 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-lifev = 3.34 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 43.0688 | 1.39 |
| αscore | 0.1409 | 3.99*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9145 | 14.39*** |
| νDF | 3.3442 | 2.47** |
0.915
Persistence8d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 43.0688 | 1.39 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.1409 | 3.99*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9145 | 14.39*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.3442 | 2.47** |
Persistence:
0.915
Half-life:
8 days
Other Insight Molecular Diagnostics Inc Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Equities