V-Lab
Insight Molecular Diagnostics Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
86.75%
increased by 9.35%
1 Week
89.47%
increased by 12.07%
1 Month
96.33%
increased by 18.93%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2015 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 46% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0919 | 11.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8204 | 92.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0427 | 3.12*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3594 | 0.88 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0035 | 1.30 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9882 | 82.53*** |
Persistence:
0.934
Half-life:
10 days
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