Insight Molecular Diagnostics Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
95.32%
increased by 2.76%
1 Week
96.91%
increased by 4.35%
1 Month
100.81%
increased by 8.25%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2015 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.0887 | 2.65*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8169 | 22.58*** |
| γleverage | 0.0446 | 0.91 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.3693 | 0.28 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0045 | 0.40 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9868 | 22.77*** |
0.928
Persistence9d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0887 | 2.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8169 | 22.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0446 | 0.91 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3693 | 0.28 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0045 | 0.40 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9868 | 22.77*** |
Persistence:
0.928
Half-life:
9 days
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