V-Lab
Insight Molecular Diagnostics Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
104.92%
decreased by 6.71%
1 Week
105.27%
decreased by 6.36%
1 Month
106.25%
decreased by 5.38%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 51% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0901 | 11.13*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8173 | 88.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0459 | 3.36*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3726 | 0.90 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0042 | 1.34 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9871 | 77.68*** |
Persistence:
0.930
Half-life:
10 days
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