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V-Lab

Diginex Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 29th, 2026

1 Day

78.52%

decreased by 0.47%

1 Week

81.42%

increased by 2.43%

1 Month

85.78%

increased by 6.79%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, April 29, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Diginex Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 2025 to Apr 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1099
5.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7863
65.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1099
-6.36***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
2.91***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0397
2.85***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6091
8.75***

Persistence:

0.841

Half-life:

4 days