V-Lab
Diginex Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 29th, 2026
1 Day
78.52%
1 Week
81.42%
1 Month
85.78%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, April 29, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 20, 2025 to Apr 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1099 | 5.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7863 | 65.49*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1099 | -6.36*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 2.91*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0397 | 2.85*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6091 | 8.75*** |
Persistence:
0.841
Half-life:
4 days
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