V-Lab
Diginex Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 29th, 2026
1 Day
157.50%
increased by 26.57%
1 Week
158.05%
increased by 27.12%
1 Month
159.66%
increased by 28.73%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, April 29, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 20, 2025 to Apr 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 5.56*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0854 | 3.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8627 | 59.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0095 | 0.24 |
Persistence:
0.953
Half-life:
14 days
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