V-Lab
Vietnam Airlines Jsc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
33.01%
increased by 0.58%
1 Week
35.69%
increased by 3.26%
1 Month
39.06%
increased by 6.63%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:32 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 7, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 59% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1343 | 13.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6113 | 25.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0796 | 6.57*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.2643 | 0.09 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1798 | 0.08 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.785
Half-life:
3 days
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