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V-Lab

Vietnam Airlines Jsc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

33.01%

increased by 0.58%

1 Week

35.69%

increased by 3.26%

1 Month

39.06%

increased by 6.63%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:32 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Vietnam Airlines Jsc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 7, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 59% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1343
13.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6113
25.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0796
6.57***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.2643
0.09
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1798
0.08
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.785

Half-life:

3 days