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Vietnam Airlines Jsc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

33.40%

increased by 4.72%

1 Week

36.25%

increased by 7.57%

1 Month

41.65%

increased by 12.97%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:32 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Vietnam Airlines Jsc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 7, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.25 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

8.5859
4.31***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1753
11.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8948
33.75***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.2530
8.56***

Persistence:

0.895

Half-life:

6 days