V-Lab
Global X Silver ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
42.06%
decreased by 0.49%
1 Week
41.96%
decreased by 0.59%
1 Month
41.54%
decreased by 1.01%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 01:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2009 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 89 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 48% more than negative returns
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0358 | 10.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0562 | 10.38*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9452 | 280.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0183 | -2.39** |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
89 days
Other Global X Silver ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs