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Hive Digital Technologies Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

91.41%

increased by 9.43%

1 Week

90.96%

increased by 8.98%

1 Month

90.17%

increased by 8.19%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hive Digital Technologies Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1998 to Oct 30, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.0584
3.94***
βGARCH0.7716
11.50***
γleverage0.0361
1.09
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.0011
0.73
λ₃tau persistence0.9987
461.72***

0.848

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0584
3.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7716
11.50***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0361
1.09
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0011
0.73
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9987
461.72***

Persistence:

0.848

Half-life:

4 days