Hive Digital Technologies Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026
1 Day
91.41%
increased by 9.43%
1 Week
90.96%
increased by 8.98%
1 Month
90.17%
increased by 8.19%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1998 to Oct 30, 2026Illiquid Asset
Stationarity Enforced
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 31 | |
| αARCH | 0.0584 | 3.94*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7716 | 11.50*** |
| γleverage | 0.0361 | 1.09 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0011 | 0.73 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9987 | 461.72*** |
0.848
Persistence4d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0584 | 3.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7716 | 11.50*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0361 | 1.09 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0011 | 0.73 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9987 | 461.72*** |
Persistence:
0.848
Half-life:
4 days
Other Hive Digital Technologies Ltd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities