V-Lab
Hive Digital Technologies Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
113.37%
decreased by 1.04%
1 Week
115.66%
increased by 1.25%
1 Month
119.54%
increased by 5.13%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:35 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1998 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 213% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 111 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0408 | 4.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6926 | 24.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0867 | 6.20*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.6730 | 0.20 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0421 | 0.23 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9213 | 2.50** |
Persistence:
0.777
Half-life:
3 days
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