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V-Lab

Hive Digital Technologies Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

113.37%

decreased by 1.04%

1 Week

115.66%

increased by 1.25%

1 Month

119.54%

increased by 5.13%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:35 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hive Digital Technologies Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1998 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 213% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

111
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0408
4.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6926
24.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0867
6.20***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.6730
0.20
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0421
0.23
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9213
2.50**

Persistence:

0.777

Half-life:

3 days