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Hive Digital Technologies Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

91.75%

increased by 12.91%

1 Week

93.86%

increased by 15.02%

1 Month

101.76%

increased by 22.92%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 09:08 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hive Digital Technologies Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1998 to Oct 30, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 315 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 9.79 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~315 daysv = 9.79 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run400.8768
1.93*
αscore0.1146
9.46***
βpersistence0.9978
1,018.17***
νDF9.7874
1.46

0.998

Persistence

315d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

400.8768
1.93*
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1146
9.46***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9978
1,018.17***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

9.7874
1.46

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

315 days