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V-Lab

Hexagon Composites Asa MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

67.17%

increased by 5.42%

1 Week

68.49%

increased by 6.74%

1 Month

69.29%

increased by 7.54%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hexagon Composites Asa MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 18, 1997 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 37% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1541
21.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4984
26.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0414
-4.11***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0218
0.75
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0110
1.49
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9873
107.76***

Persistence:

0.632

Half-life:

2 days