Skip to main content
V-Lab

Hexagon Composites Asa GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

64.14%

increased by 3.19%

1 Week

64.19%

increased by 3.24%

1 Month

64.41%

increased by 3.46%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hexagon Composites Asa GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 18, 1997 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 97 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.47 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

18.3685
3.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0461
50.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9929
523.95***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.4650
20.09***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

97 days