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Hexagon Composites Asa Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

51.26%

decreased by 0.72%

1 Week

55.79%

increased by 3.81%

1 Month

58.79%

increased by 6.81%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 02:01 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hexagon Composites Asa S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 18, 1997 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3909
6.47***
αARCH0.1536
6.67***
βGARCH0.4815
6.40***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.0455
-1.17
γ20.0281
0.47
γ30.0793
1.98**
γ4-0.0677
-1.77*
γ5-0.0590
-1.31
γ60.1575
4.35***
γ7-0.1413
-4.99***
γ80.0527
2.07**

0.635

Persistence

2d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3909
6.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1536
6.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4815
6.40***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.0455
-1.17
γ20.0281
0.47
γ30.0793
1.98**
γ4-0.0677
-1.77*
γ5-0.0590
-1.31
γ60.1575
4.35***
γ7-0.1413
-4.99***
γ80.0527
2.07**

Persistence:

0.635

Half-life:

2 days