V-Lab
Gold.com Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
54.30%
decreased by 5.21%
1 Week
52.75%
decreased by 6.76%
1 Month
49.50%
decreased by 10.01%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 17, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9866 | 17.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1295 | 9.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7551 | 70.73*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0011 | -0.04 |
Persistence:
0.884
Half-life:
6 days
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