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V-Lab

Gold.com Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

51.28%

decreased by 4.76%

1 Week

50.81%

decreased by 5.23%

1 Month

50.64%

decreased by 5.40%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gold.com Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 17, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1152
12.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6349
24.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0001
-0.01
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.6115
0.36
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2292
0.43
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7033
0.96

Persistence:

0.750

Half-life:

2 days