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V-Lab

GCM Corp Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

171.74%

decreased by 4.79%

1 Week

171.24%

decreased by 5.29%

1 Month

169.46%

decreased by 7.07%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of GCM Corp Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 39 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 39 days. The volatility power δ = 1.77 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
6.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0758
18.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9123
224.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0493
1.23
δ

power

Transformation power

1.7694
29.45***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

39 days