GCM Corp Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
166.46%
decreased by 7.91%
1 Week
164.07%
decreased by 10.30%
1 Month
156.68%
decreased by 17.69%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 15, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.3205 | 12.22*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0986 | 17.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8563 | 140.68*** |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
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