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V-Lab

GCM Corp Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

136.45%

decreased by 4.32%

1 Week

136.04%

decreased by 4.73%

1 Month

134.75%

decreased by 6.02%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of GCM Corp Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.5582
13.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0566
20.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9055
251.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4561
0.93

Persistence:

0.962

Half-life:

18 days