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V-Lab

GCM Corp Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

169.84%

decreased by 8.01%

1 Week

167.71%

decreased by 10.14%

1 Month

161.01%

decreased by 16.84%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of GCM Corp Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.2693
13.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0935
12.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8559
137.62***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0182
1.24

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days