GCM Corp Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
169.84%
decreased by 8.01%
1 Week
167.71%
decreased by 10.14%
1 Month
161.01%
decreased by 16.84%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 15, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.2693 | 13.44*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0935 | 12.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8559 | 137.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0182 | 1.24 |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
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