V-Lab
Fate Therapeutics Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
76.58%
increased by 2.21%
1 Week
80.61%
increased by 6.24%
1 Month
84.39%
increased by 10.02%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 09:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2013 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1454 | 13.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5952 | 19.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0278 | -1.41 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.5212 | 0.05 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6752 | 0.09 |
Persistence:
0.727
Half-life:
2 days
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