V-Lab
Fate Therapeutics Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
72.30%
decreased by 0.60%
1 Week
78.43%
increased by 5.53%
1 Month
83.89%
increased by 10.99%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 09:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2013 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1512 | 3.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5850 | 7.02*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0321 | -0.54 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 8.8168 | 0.29 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7001 | 0.65 |
Persistence:
0.720
Half-life:
2 days
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