V-Lab
Fate Therapeutics Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
71.18%
decreased by 1.29%
1 Week
78.59%
increased by 6.12%
1 Month
83.85%
increased by 11.38%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 09:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2013 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 9.6749 | 7.87*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1668 | 5.31*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4927 | 11.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -1.2410 | -1.53 |
Persistence:
0.660
Half-life:
2 days
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