V-Lab
Fate Therapeutics Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
77.64%
decreased by 1.82%
1 Week
82.90%
increased by 3.44%
1 Month
88.92%
increased by 9.46%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2013 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8698 | 8.82*** |
| αARCH | 0.1222 | 3.72*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6583 | 8.37*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0022 | -1.53 |
0.780
Persistence3d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8698 | 8.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1222 | 3.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6583 | 8.37*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0022 | -1.53 |
Persistence:
0.780
Half-life:
3 days
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