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Fate Therapeutics Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

64.32%

decreased by 3.34%

1 Week

67.04%

decreased by 0.62%

1 Month

73.81%

increased by 6.15%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fate Therapeutics Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 2013 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.69 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-lifev = 4.69 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst28.1264
1.81*
αARCH0.0877
3.09***
βGARCH0.9354
20.69***
νDF4.6887
1.06

0.935

Persistence

10d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

28.1264
1.81*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0877
3.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9354
20.69***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.6887
1.06

Persistence:

0.935

Half-life:

10 days