V-Lab
Fate Therapeutics Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
64.37%
increased by 0.01%
1 Week
67.09%
increased by 2.73%
1 Month
73.86%
increased by 9.50%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2013 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.69 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-lifev = 4.69 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 28.1557 | 1.81* |
| αARCH | 0.0876 | 3.08*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9353 | 20.65*** |
| νDF | 4.6866 | 1.06 |
0.935
Persistence10d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 28.1557 | 1.81* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0876 | 3.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9353 | 20.65*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.6866 | 1.06 |
Persistence:
0.935
Half-life:
10 days
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