V-Lab
SFC Energy AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
46.68%
decreased by 3.01%
1 Week
50.12%
increased by 0.43%
1 Month
53.07%
increased by 3.38%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 14, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 101 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1674 | 13.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5379 | 29.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0129 | 0.73 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1884 | 0.74 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0265 | 0.98 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9583 | 20.44*** |
Persistence:
0.712
Half-life:
2 days
Other SFC Energy AG Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities