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V-Lab

SFC Energy AG GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

41.49%

decreased by 3.51%

1 Week

43.36%

decreased by 1.64%

1 Month

48.55%

increased by 3.55%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of SFC Energy AG GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 14, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.17 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

14.1672
6.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1091
20.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9551
126.60***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.1672
8.45***

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days