CBOE EuroCurrency ETF Volatility Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Inactive
Last recorded values (Monday, January 27th, 2025):
1 Day
183.65%
1 Week
198.79%
1 Month
214.04%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 04:36 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 1, 2008 to Jan 24, 2025Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 46 | |
| αARCH | 0.1760 | 4.57*** |
| βGARCH | 0.4524 | 6.05*** |
| γleverage | -0.0063 | -0.11 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 7.2280 | 2.91*** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.7871 | 6.59*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.625
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1760 | 4.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4524 | 6.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0063 | -0.11 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 7.2280 | 2.91*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7871 | 6.59*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.625
Half-life:
1 days
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