ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index

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ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index

CBOE Volatility Index

CBOE NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index

CBOE DJIA Volatility Index

CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index

CBOE S&P 500 9-Day Volatility Index

CBOE 3-Month Volatility Index

CBOE 1-Day Volatility Index

CBOE S&P 500 6-Month Volatility Index

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CBOE Skew Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	31
αARCH	0.0305	0.71
βGARCH	0.5786	3.61***
γleverage	0.0282	0.66
λ₁tau intercept	0.0289	3.89***
λ₂forecast adj.	1.0000	9.44***
λ₃tau persistence	0.0000	0.00

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	31
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0305	0.71
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.5786	3.61***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0282	0.66
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0289	3.89***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	1.0000	9.44***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.0000	0.00

V-Lab

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Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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