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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	126
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0689	16.47***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.7890	64.96***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0523	8.60***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	10.0000	0.00
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0000	0.00
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.2018	0.00

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Etsy Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

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News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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