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V-Lab

Etsy Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

55.42%

decreased by 0.51%

1 Week

55.80%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Month

56.79%

increased by 0.86%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Etsy Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9136
10.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0826
9.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8555
91.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0113
-0.86

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days