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V-Lab

Epsilon Energy Ltd. GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

42.83%

decreased by 1.17%

1 Week

42.90%

decreased by 1.10%

1 Month

43.04%

decreased by 0.96%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Epsilon Energy Ltd. GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 12, 2013 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.30 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

7.4075
8.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1137
13.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9045
75.45***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.2987
5.22***

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days