V-Lab
Epsilon Energy Ltd. GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
42.83%
decreased by 1.17%
1 Week
42.90%
decreased by 1.10%
1 Month
43.04%
decreased by 0.96%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 12, 2013 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.30 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 7.4075 | 8.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1137 | 13.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9045 | 75.45*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.2987 | 5.22*** |
Persistence:
0.904
Half-life:
7 days
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