V-Lab
Epsilon Energy Ltd. GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
44.50%
decreased by 5.41%
1 Week
44.78%
decreased by 5.13%
1 Month
45.15%
decreased by 4.76%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 12, 2013 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.6485 | 19.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2486 | 5.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5634 | 34.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0279 | -0.42 |
Persistence:
0.798
Half-life:
3 days
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