V-Lab
Epsilon Energy Ltd. GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
41.67%
increased by 6.70%
1 Week
42.92%
increased by 7.95%
1 Month
44.48%
increased by 9.51%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 12, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.6818 | 19.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2479 | 5.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5639 | 34.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0372 | -0.57 |
Persistence:
0.793
Half-life:
3 days
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