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V-Lab

Epsilon Energy Ltd. Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

48.12%

decreased by 4.70%

1 Week

49.40%

decreased by 3.42%

1 Month

50.37%

decreased by 2.45%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Epsilon Energy Ltd. S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 12, 2013 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5689
3.20***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1944
4.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4666
6.12***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-0.8206
-1.46
γ21.2311
1.68*
γ3-0.8198
-2.94***
γ40.7376
3.33***
γ5-0.7010
-3.91***
γ60.8583
4.61***
γ7-0.7233
-4.85***

Persistence:

0.661

Half-life:

2 days