ICE BofA EMEA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
2.63%
decreased by 0.16%
1 Week
2.68%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Month
2.90%
increased by 0.11%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 02:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0006 | 20.37 | |
| 0.1011 | 27.57 | |
| 0.8621 | 226.03 | |
| 0.0737 | 9.10 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1999 to May 15, 2026
Jan 1, 1999 to May 15, 2026
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