ICE BofA EMEA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 1st, 2026
1 Day
3.92%
decreased by 0.27%
1 Week
3.96%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Month
4.12%
decreased by 0.07%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, April 1, 2026 at 02:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0006 | 20.77 | |
| 0.1039 | 27.60 | |
| 0.8596 | 219.18 | |
| 0.0731 | 8.84 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1999 to Mar 27, 2026
Jan 1, 1999 to Mar 27, 2026
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