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V-Lab

ICE BofA EMEA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 1st, 2026

1 Day

3.92%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Week

3.96%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Month

4.12%

decreased by 0.07%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, April 1, 2026 at 02:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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graph of ICE BofA EMEA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
ω0.000620.77
α0.103927.60
β0.8596219.18
γ0.07318.84
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1999 to Mar 27, 2026