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V-Lab

ICE BofA EMEA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026

1 Day

-0.00%

decreased by 3.61%

1 Week

2.07%

decreased by 1.54%

1 Month

3.40%

decreased by 0.21%

Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 02:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of ICE BofA EMEA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
m36
α0.82388,237,590.00
β0.0000100.00
γ0.35253,524,620.00
λ10.00384.68
λ20.553916.09
λ30.44619.98
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1999 to May 15, 2026