ICE BofA EMEA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
-0.00%
decreased by 3.61%
1 Week
2.07%
decreased by 1.54%
1 Month
3.40%
decreased by 0.21%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 02:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | ||
| 0.8238 | 8,237,590.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.3525 | 3,524,620.00 | |
| 0.0038 | 4.68 | |
| 0.5539 | 16.09 | |
| 0.4461 | 9.98 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1999 to May 15, 2026
Jan 1, 1999 to May 15, 2026
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