S&P GSCI Crude Oil Index GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 18th, 2026
1 Day
64.52%
increased by 1.03%
1 Week
64.28%
increased by 0.79%
1 Month
63.35%
decreased by 0.14%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 15, 2026 at 11:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 6.4375 | 6.20 | |
| 0.0634 | 53.18 | |
| 0.9939 | 990.91 | |
| 7.2076 | 8.12 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to May 15, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to May 15, 2026
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