S&P GSCI Crude Oil Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 18th, 2026
1 Day
60.20%
increased by 0.31%
1 Week
59.78%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Month
58.26%
decreased by 1.63%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 15, 2026 at 11:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7599 | 3.76 | |
| 0.0845 | 8.56 | |
| 0.8986 | 92.83 | |
| 0.0069 | 0.75 | |
| -0.0204 | -1.67 | |
| 0.0258 | 3.95 | |
| -0.0175 | -3.83 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to May 15, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to May 15, 2026
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