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V-Lab

Christian Dior SE MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

31.11%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Week

31.13%

decreased by 0.22%

1 Month

31.24%

decreased by 0.11%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Christian Dior SE MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 17, 2020 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 332 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~332 daysLeverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9818
129.26***
γleverage0.0323
3.08***
λ₁tau intercept5.5154
1.51
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.998

Persistence

332d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9818
129.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0323
3.08***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.5154
1.51
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

332 days