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V-Lab

Christian Dior SE MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

31.71%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Week

31.70%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Month

31.68%

decreased by 0.16%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 03:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Christian Dior SE MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 17, 2020 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 179 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~179 daysLeverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9811
98.51***
γleverage0.0301
2.97***
λ₁tau intercept3.8020
0.54
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.996

Persistence

179d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9811
98.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0301
2.97***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.8020
0.54
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

179 days