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V-Lab

Christian Dior SE MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

30.06%

decreased by 0.22%

1 Week

30.07%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Month

30.11%

decreased by 0.17%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

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graph of Christian Dior SE MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 17, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 193 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9811
211.62***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0307
8.73***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.9735
0.03
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

193 days