V-Lab
Christian Dior SE Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
30.36%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
30.36%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
30.36%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 05:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 17, 2020 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4296 | 4.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4973 | 0.40 |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | 2.4414 | 3.69*** |
| γ2 | -4.1948 | -4.03*** |
| γ3 | 2.9851 | 2.75*** |
| γ4 | -1.5194 | -1.17 |
| γ5 | 0.1563 | 0.14 |
| γ6 | 0.1619 | 0.28 |
Persistence:
0.497
Half-life:
1 days
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