Christian Dior SE Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
30.79%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
30.79%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
30.79%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 17, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4420 | 4.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4910 | 0.39 |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | 2.5396 | 3.69*** |
| γ2 | -4.3263 | -3.94*** |
| γ3 | 2.9957 | 2.59*** |
| γ4 | -1.4546 | -1.07 |
| γ5 | 0.1139 | 0.10 |
| γ6 | 0.1461 | 0.25 |
Persistence:
0.491
Half-life:
1 days
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