V-Lab
Christian Dior SE Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
34.45%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
34.45%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
34.45%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 17, 2020 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.3765 | 4.96*** |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.5166 | 0.41 |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | 2.2330 | 3.68*** |
| γ2 | -3.9159 | -4.27*** |
| γ3 | 2.9896 | 3.25*** |
| γ4 | -1.7879 | -1.57 |
| γ5 | 0.6003 | 0.59 |
| γ6 | -0.2244 | -0.35 |
0.517
Persistence1d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3765 | 4.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5166 | 0.41 |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | 2.2330 | 3.68*** |
| γ2 | -3.9159 | -4.27*** |
| γ3 | 2.9896 | 3.25*** |
| γ4 | -1.7879 | -1.57 |
| γ5 | 0.6003 | 0.59 |
| γ6 | -0.2244 | -0.35 |
Persistence:
0.517
Half-life:
1 days
Other Christian Dior SE Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on International Equities