V-Lab
Christian Dior SE Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
30.04%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
30.04%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
30.04%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 03:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 17, 2020 to Sep 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.4073 | 4.96*** |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.5058 | 0.41 |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | 2.2795 | 3.67*** |
| γ2 | -3.9697 | -4.18*** |
| γ3 | 2.9496 | 3.06*** |
| γ4 | -1.6199 | -1.37 |
| γ5 | 0.2547 | 0.25 |
| γ6 | 0.1444 | 0.26 |
0.506
Persistence1d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4073 | 4.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5058 | 0.41 |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | 2.2795 | 3.67*** |
| γ2 | -3.9697 | -4.18*** |
| γ3 | 2.9496 | 3.06*** |
| γ4 | -1.6199 | -1.37 |
| γ5 | 0.2547 | 0.25 |
| γ6 | 0.1444 | 0.26 |
Persistence:
0.506
Half-life:
1 days
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