First Trust AAA CMBS ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:3.80% (+0.69%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 66 | ||
| 0.1605 | 15.94 | |
| 0.8737 | 91.68 | |
| -0.1605 | -14.35 | |
| 0.0522 | 0.45 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 0.0761 | 0.04 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 28, 2024 to Feb 6, 2026
Feb 28, 2024 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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