First Trust AAA CMBS ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:3.64% (+0.35%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9548 | 9.59 | |
| 0.0782 | 1.49 | |
| 0.4368 | 0.98 | |
| -0.0296 | -0.46 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 28, 2024 to Feb 6, 2026
Feb 28, 2024 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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