Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:2.23% (+0.02%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6291 | 3.76 | |
| 0.0930 | 6.75 | |
| 0.8581 | 48.36 | |
| -0.8756 | -3.36 | |
| 0.9597 | 2.75 | |
| 0.0167 | 0.08 | |
| 0.1453 | 0.60 | |
| -0.6511 | -2.90 | |
| 0.7518 | 3.49 | |
| -0.6453 | -2.50 | |
| 0.8639 | 2.95 | |
| -1.1853 | -4.47 | |
| 0.8323 | 4.64 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 10, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
Apr 10, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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