Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:2.16% (+0.03%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0001 | 9.77 | |
| 0.0882 | 35.98 | |
| 0.9091 | 393.20 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 10, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
Apr 10, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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