Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:2.32% (+0.04%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6188 | 3.76 | |
| 0.0938 | 6.71 | |
| 0.8547 | 46.93 | |
| -0.8950 | -3.45 | |
| 0.9855 | 2.85 | |
| -0.0002 | -0.00 | |
| 0.1733 | 0.73 | |
| -0.6879 | -3.11 | |
| 0.7929 | 3.71 | |
| -0.6987 | -2.73 | |
| 0.9564 | 3.22 | |
| -1.3690 | -4.54 | |
| 1.2148 | 3.06 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 10, 2007 to Feb 6, 2026
Apr 10, 2007 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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