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Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:2.32% (+0.04%)
Analysis last updated: Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 10:35 PM UTC
Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF SGARCH
paramt-stat
ω0.61883.76
α0.09386.71
β0.854746.93
γ1-0.8950-3.45
γ20.98552.85
γ3-0.0002-0.00
γ40.17330.73
γ5-0.6879-3.11
γ60.79293.71
γ7-0.6987-2.73
γ80.95643.22
γ9-1.3690-4.54
γ101.21483.06
Estimation Period:
Apr 10, 2007 to Feb 6, 2026
Impact of return on volatility tomorrow
Volatility Forecasts