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V-Lab

Defiance Daily Target 2X Short BMNR ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

143.44%

increased by 5.32%

1 Week

145.01%

increased by 6.89%

1 Month

150.66%

increased by 12.54%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Defiance Daily Target 2X Short BMNR ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 13, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 60 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 60 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8417
1.27
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1201
1.83*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9285
50.99***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1201
-1.82*

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

60 days