S&P GSCI Biofuel Spot Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Thursday, April 23rd, 2026
1 Day
3.85%
decreased by 20.34%
1 Week
5.97%
decreased by 18.22%
1 Month
14.09%
decreased by 10.10%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, April 22, 2026 at 11:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 51 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 0.8876 | 15.36 | |
| 0.3608 | 12.38 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 16, 1995 to Apr 17, 2026
Jan 16, 1995 to Apr 17, 2026
Other S&P GSCI Biofuel Spot Index Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Commodities