S&P GSCI Biofuel Spot Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 11th, 2026
1 Day
2.92%
decreased by 2.91%
1 Week
5.48%
decreased by 0.35%
1 Month
13.27%
increased by 7.44%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, June 10, 2026 at 11:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 56 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 0.9014 | 9,014,340.00 | |
| 0.3540 | 3,540,350.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 16, 1995 to Jun 5, 2026
Jan 16, 1995 to Jun 5, 2026
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