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V-Lab

Avi Polymers Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 4th, 2026

1 Day

84.20%

increased by 1.30%

1 Week

162.30%

increased by 79.40%

1 Month

3,269.42%

increased by 3,186.52%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 4, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Avi Polymers Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 15, 2015 to May 29, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0968
0.37
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7128
4.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0968
-0.37
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.5567
0.09
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
0.04
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.761

Half-life:

3 days