V-Lab
Atmus Filtration Technls Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
40.21%
increased by 3.69%
1 Week
38.76%
increased by 2.24%
1 Month
36.54%
increased by 0.02%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 29, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.81 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.9001 | 5.59*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1093 | 3.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8212 | 24.44*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.8076 | 1.31 |
Persistence:
0.821
Half-life:
4 days
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