V-Lab
Atmus Filtration Technls Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
41.43%
increased by 2.25%
1 Week
40.40%
increased by 1.22%
1 Month
39.30%
increased by 0.12%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 29, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9080 | 8.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2174 | 1.86* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5207 | 2.96*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0294 | -1.08 |
Persistence:
0.738
Half-life:
2 days
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