Arco Vara As MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 21st, 2026
1 Day
30.70%
decreased by 2.29%
1 Week
30.33%
decreased by 2.66%
1 Month
29.49%
decreased by 3.50%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | ||
| 0.1786 | 22.84 | |
| 0.7876 | 126.10 | |
| -0.0223 | -2.47 | |
| 0.0017 | 2.14 | |
| 0.0083 | 11.13 | |
| 0.9914 | 1,127.85 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 22, 2007 to May 15, 2026
Jun 22, 2007 to May 15, 2026
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