Arco Vara As Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 21st, 2026
1 Day
28.51%
decreased by 2.84%
1 Week
27.69%
decreased by 3.66%
1 Month
25.80%
decreased by 5.55%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5042 | 3.07 | |
| 0.1911 | 7.98 | |
| 0.7122 | 25.06 | |
| -0.6479 | -3.19 | |
| 0.8888 | 3.37 | |
| -0.4137 | -3.20 | |
| 0.3244 | 2.03 | |
| -0.2749 | -1.37 | |
| 0.0804 | 0.42 | |
| 0.2011 | 1.56 | |
| -0.2080 | -2.59 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 22, 2007 to May 15, 2026
Jun 22, 2007 to May 15, 2026
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