Arco Vara As Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:16.45% (-0.78%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4918 | 3.06 | |
| 0.1907 | 7.82 | |
| 0.7090 | 24.38 | |
| -0.6744 | -3.29 | |
| 0.9268 | 3.48 | |
| -0.4344 | -3.21 | |
| 0.3373 | 1.97 | |
| -0.2682 | -1.26 | |
| 0.0475 | 0.24 | |
| 0.2423 | 1.77 | |
| -0.2330 | -2.48 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 22, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
Jun 22, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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