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V-Lab

Arco Vara As GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 21st, 2026

1 Day

33.34%

decreased by 1.01%

1 Week

33.74%

decreased by 0.61%

1 Month

35.31%

increased by 0.96%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

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graph of Arco Vara As GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time